気象庁防災情報XMLを用いて、台風進路予想図よりも詳細な履歴情報を表示します。経路図マーカーの色は、実況が黄色、予報時間の長さに応じて濃淡が黒(短時間予報)から白(長時間予報)へと変化します。マーカーを右クリックすると情報ウィンドウを表示しませんので、予報円の変化が確認しやすくなります。マーカーを取り囲む予報円は、予報時刻にこの円内に台風の中心が入る確率を70%としています。ただし、経路情報はあくまで速報値ですので、確定した経路情報はベストトラックもご利用下さい。「緑」予報円は予報円の内部に速報値が入った場合(正解)、「赤」予報円はそうでない場合(不正解)です。なお、発表時刻を基準とした地図については台風予報履歴(発表時刻基準)、予報時刻を基準とした地図については台風予報履歴(予報時刻基準)、予報誤差の一覧については予報精度(予報円・予報誤差)をご覧下さい。
発表時刻基準
予報時間 |
2015-10-13 |
2015-10-14 |
2015-10-15 |
2015-10-16 |
2015-10-17 |
2015-10-18 |
2015-10-19 |
2015-10-20 |
正解率 |
12 |
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40/52=76%
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24 |
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49/55=89%
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45 |
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23/24=95%
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48 |
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23/24=95%
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69 |
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20/20=100%
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72 |
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20/20=100%
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96 |
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16/16=100%
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120 |
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12/12=100%
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予報時刻基準
予報時間 |
2015-10-14 |
2015-10-15 |
2015-10-16 |
2015-10-17 |
2015-10-18 |
2015-10-19 |
2015-10-20 |
2015-10-21 |
正解率 |
12 |
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40/52=76%
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24 |
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49/55=89%
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23/24=95%
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48 |
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23/24=95%
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69 |
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20/20=100%
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72 |
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20/20=100%
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96 |
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16/16=100%
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120 |
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12/12=100%
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